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Why Energy Efficiency Targets Fail When Subsidies Dominate Policy

According to The Daily Star, Bangladesh's Sustainable and Renewable Energy Development Authority (SREDA) launched the Energy Efficiency and Conservation Master Plan (EECMP) in May 2016 with two…

Why Energy Efficiency Targets Fail When Subsidies Dominate Policy

According to The Daily Star, Bangladesh's Sustainable and Renewable Energy Development Authority (SREDA) launched the Energy Efficiency and Conservation Master Plan (EECMP) in May 2016 with two quantitative targets: a 15% reduction in primary energy consumption per unit of GDP by 2021 and a 20% cut by 2030, both measured against 2013 baselines. A decade on, the country's fiscal arithmetic has moved decisively in the opposite direction—a textbook case of policy targets neutralized by parallel subsidy commitments.

The Subsidy Trajectory

The International Energy Agency estimates that governments across emerging and developing economies spent roughly $620 billion on fossil-fuel consumption subsidies in 2023. Bangladesh's exposure is structural, not marginal. The International Monetary Fund pegged the country's energy-related budget subsidies at 0.9% of GDP in FY2022-23. In the revised FY2024-25 budget, subsidies for power and fertilizer alone climbed to Tk 90,000 crore, with a sizable share absorbed by clearing accumulated power-sector arrears. The finance minister has further estimated that FY2025-26 could require an additional Tk 42,600 crore across oil, gas, electricity, and fertilizer if international fuel and LNG prices remain elevated. These figures effectively reprice the EECMP targets as paper exercises, because the price signal the plan required to function is the same signal subsidies erase.

The Implementation Gap

The Daily Star reports that the EECMP roadmap identified mandatory energy management, appliance labeling, and energy audits as core programs—and that none have advanced at the pace envisioned. Limited institutional capacity inside implementing agencies and weak inter-agency coordination are cited as binding constraints. More damaging, the master plan underweighted three areas that determine whether demand-side savings actually materialize: the transport sector, utility-side efficiency, and energy pricing reform. With transport now among the fastest-growing energy-consuming segments in Bangladesh, that omission has compounded.

What the Math Actually Implies

Energy costs drive efficiency by making waste expensive. When the state absorbs the price signal, the feedback loop breaks and efficiency programs devolve into compliance paperwork. The Daily Star frames prolonged subsidies as an irrational use of taxpayer money—a verdict consistent with basic conservation economics. For analysts tracking the file, three documents will signal whether the gap between plan and balance sheet is closing or widening: the FY2025-26 supplementary budget, the next IMF Article IV consultation, and any SREDA reporting on energy-audit coverage. Until price discipline is restored, no quantity of master planning will deliver measurable declines in energy intensity.

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